МАЙБУТНЄ БАТЬКІВСТВО У ЖИТТЄВИХ ПЛАНАХ ПІДЛІТКІВ ЧЕРНІВЕЦЬКОЇ ОБЛАСТІ В УМОВАХ ВІЙНИ

І.Д. Шкробанець; Н.В. Гопко; С.В. Гозак; О.Т. Єлізарова; Т.В. Станкевич

doi:10.32402/

Authors

I.D. Shkrobanets State Institution “Marzieiev Institute for Public Health of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2778-2463 Author
N.V. Hopko State Institution “Chernivtsi Oblast Center for Disease Control and Prevention of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine”, Chernivtsi, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6612-2620 Author
S.V. Hozak State Institution “Marzieiev Institute for Public Health of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6379-7331 Author
O.T. Yelizarova State Institution “Marzieiev Institute for Public Health of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2860-9059 Author
T.V. Stankevych State Institution “Marzieiev Institute for Public Health of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3998-3748 Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32402/

Keywords:

adolescents, future parenthood, intention to have children, migration intentions, educational and career plans, self-determination theory, war.

Abstract

The study of social factors and adolescents’ intention toward future parenthood is a priority for public policy development amid the demographic crisis and the full-scale war.

OBJECTIVE. To assess adolescents’ intention to have children in the future and its associations with sociodemographic characteristics, migration intentions, and educational and career plans in Chernivtsi Region.

MATERIALS AND METHODS. In April 2026, a cross-sectional anonymous survey of 2,509 students aged 15–18 years was conducted using an author-developed 17-item questionnaire. Independent associations were assessed using multivariable binary logistic regression. The model included 2,409 respondents with complete data for all variables used in the analysis. Results are presented as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS. Among those who answered the question about their intention to have children in the future, 73.3% (95% CI 71.6–75.0) answered “yes”. Sex was not independently associated with the intention to have children (aOR = 0.97; 95% CI 0.80–1.18). Intending to remain in the region was associated with higher odds of intending to have children compared with being undecided (aOR = 2.30; 95% CI 1.78–2.99). Compared with adolescents living in rural areas, those living in cities had lower odds of a positive response regarding future parenthood (aOR = 0.50; 95% CI 0.41–0.62), as did those living in urban-type settlements (aOR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.40–0.80). Plans to pursue university education or vocational/professional pre-higher education were also associated with higher odds of answering “yes” compared with plans to work abroad: aOR = 1.44 (95% CI 1.10–1.89) and aOR = 1.53 (95% CI 1.18–1.98), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS. The intention to have children in the future among adolescents in Chernivtsi oblast is linked to the broader context of their lives, including migration and educational and professional plans. The results underscore the feasibility of a territorially sensitive approach in public health, aimed at creating conditions in which young people can plan their education, professional development, place of residence, and future family. The identified connections require further verification in other regions and in longitudinal studies.

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